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Managers slash US weighting to nine-year low

By Adam Lewis, 19 Jul 17

Global fund managers’ exposure to US equities has fallen to its lowest level since January 2008, according to the BofA Merrill Lynch fund manager survey for July.

Global fund managers' exposure to US equities has fallen to its lowest level since January 2008, according to the BofA Merrill Lynch fund manager survey for July.

The exposure level dropped to a net 20% underweight in the US in July, having been a net 15% in June.

Meanwhile, relative positioning to US versus the rest of the world (the average of the eurozone, emerging markets, Japan and the UK) fell to its lowest level since November 2007 at -40%.

Replacing the US, global fund managers significantly upped their exposure to Japan, rising from net 1% overweight in June to a net 28% overweight in July.

While average cash balances fell from 5% last month to 4.9% in July, the level remains above the 10-year average of 4.5%, with managers explaining this overweight cash stance as being down to their bearish views on markets (25%) and preference for cash over low-yielding assets (20%).

Global fund managers significantly upped their exposure to Japan, rising from net 1% overweight in June to a net 28% overweight in July

Negative catalyst

“Fund managers’ biggest fears are a shock coming from bond markets or central banks,” said Michael Hartnett, chief investment strategist at BofA Merrill Lynch. “Too many investors see the Fed as a likely negative catalyst.”

The survey also showed fund managers remain bullish on Europe, with a net 51% expecting the European economy to strengthen over the next 12 months.

Ronan Carr, European equity strategist, said: “Investors expect eurozone inflation to rise and find monetary policy too stimulative, putting the ECB’s signalling powers to the test.”

Some 207 global managers with assets under management of $525bn (£402bn, €455bn) took place in the survey, which was conducted between 7 and 13 July.

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International Adviser covers the global intermediary market that uses cross-border insurance, investments, banking and pension products on behalf of their high-net-worth clients. No news, articles or content may be reproduced in part or in full without express permission of International Adviser.